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TS Bertha
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Island Woman MJ
Island Expert


Joined: Mon Dec 25th, 2006
Location: Culebra
Posts: 2163
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 Posted: Sun Jul 6th, 2008 10:57 am

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The good news is, as has been hoped, the numbers in miles to the north Bertha will have between us and itself are going back up! All of the models are taking the northward turn again, based on speed and other weather conditions that will affect the turn that are becoming more *forecastable* now. The next couple of days will confirm, but even though Bertha is supposed to strengthen and perhaps reach hurricane strength (see below) in the next three days, she *should* be well to the north of us at that time. Here's hoping the weather folk are spot on.

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST SUN JUL 06 2008

...BERTHA APPROACHING WARMER WATERS AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1310
MILES...2110 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS BERTHA REMAINS OVER
THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY
TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

Attachment: 084113W_sm.gif (Downloaded 10 times)



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Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert


Joined: Mon Dec 25th, 2006
Location: Culebra
Posts: 2163
Status:  Offline
 Posted: Sun Jul 6th, 2008 10:58 am

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Models as of 5 a.m.

Attachment: at200802_model.gif (Downloaded 10 times)



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Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!

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