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Distance of Bertha, current prediction

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Hillman
Charter Member

Joined:	Sat Feb 10th, 2007
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Posts:	364
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Posted: Sun Jul 6th, 2008 02:30 pm

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This trend northward is making us all happy. Perhaps rain for DD in the Atlanta area? Did you get any rain this past weekend?

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Island Woman MJ
Island Expert

Joined:	Mon Dec 25th, 2006
Location:	Culebra
Posts:	2264
Status:	Online

Posted: Sun Jul 6th, 2008 09:53 pm

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I'll copy on the back of this happy news with more as Bertha continues a slight north west turn.

Unless I see something dramatic and drastic in the path of Bertha I'll leave you all to watch her for yourselves, as at present, it is looking good for us. That doesn't mean if you planned on going to shop for supplies you can let that ride...be prepared!!

This is the afternoon report out of SJ, not specifically Bertha related

Satellite images are showing a drier airmass moving over the local
region tonight but isolated showers could develop over the eastern
local waters and move onshore affecting the east and northeast
coastal sections. Similar conditions are expected to prevail
through at least Tuesday. Moisture associated to Tropical Storm
Bertha will begin to reach our region increasing the showers
across the entire region. Citizens are encourage to monitor this
system for the next 48 hours as Bertha moves closer to the Lesser
Antilles.

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Last edited on Sun Jul 6th, 2008 09:59 pm by Island Woman MJ

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Island Woman MJ
Island Expert

Joined:	Mon Dec 25th, 2006
Location:	Culebra
Posts:	2264
Status:	Online

Posted: Sun Jul 6th, 2008 09:58 pm

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Again, Bertha is still to be taken seriously and shifts, as we all know, DO occur, so don't get complacent, and do keep an eye on her. Hence, the big picture, so you can see what is going on. Slightly north of the earlier position, it has NOT taken a direct northern turn,

This is the 5 p.m. public advisory, in part:

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST SUN JUL 06 2008

...BERTHA STRENGTHENING...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1055
MILES...1700 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.
A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS
MUCH TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY
LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST AND BERTHA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...18.1 N...47.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

Attachment: goesmeteo.jpg (Downloaded 13 times)

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