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92,93L cont.
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Island Woman MJ
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 Posted: Tue Aug 12th, 2008 11:53 am

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The official word again.

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
LOCATED 650 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. ASSOCIATED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

2. A LARGE AND COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION SINCE YESTERDAY...A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

3. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE DIMINISHED.

Attachment: two_atl.gif (Downloaded 19 times)



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Island Woman MJ
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 Posted: Tue Aug 12th, 2008 11:57 am

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and now for the good news! Hopefully these models will pan out to be correct. There is still a lot of *what's going on* in weather geek world, due to all sorts of reasons. They might send the planes in later on, I believe the system has to be worth looking at and be at 55 before they will go.

Attachment: at200892_model.gif (Downloaded 19 times)



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Island Woman MJ
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Location: Culebra
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 Posted: Tue Aug 12th, 2008 12:03 pm

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As you can see, even if you don't really understand it, the GFS model is the oddball in both of these models. So don't let the purple line scare you...well, unless you are complacent, unprepared and don't care much

Attachment: at200893_model.gif (Downloaded 19 times)



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admin
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 Posted: Tue Aug 12th, 2008 02:27 pm

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http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1016&tstamp=200808



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