| Author | Post |
|---|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Sun Oct 12th, 2008 09:16 pm |
|
What was 97L is now, skipping a beat or two, tropical storm Nana. Hard to get worried about a storm named after the dog in Peter Pan, but remember how loyal and ferocious she could be when necessary?
While I don't have a big buzz on about Nana, there are a lot of dynamics going on right now with 98L, the tropical wave and Nana, and as is known, I never say never.
Here are some more erratic models.
Attachment: at200814_model.gif (Downloaded 40 times)
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Sun Oct 12th, 2008 09:18 pm |
|
Ok, maybe I have a little buzz on about Nana...and you should as well. Check out the lat / long and direction.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 PM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008
...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.9 WEST OR ABOUT 925
MILES...1485 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
NANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND NANA
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...16.4 N...37.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
Attachment: at200814_sat.jpg (Downloaded 40 times) Last edited on Sun Oct 12th, 2008 09:19 pm by Island Woman MJ
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Sun Oct 12th, 2008 09:24 pm |
|
5 day forecast graphic
Attachment: at200814_5day.gif (Downloaded 36 times)
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 12:58 am |
|
Still some crazy models on Nana...but who didn't have a crazy Nana?
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NANA...LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.
1. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...
WHICH HAVE BEEN HINDERING DEVELOPMENT...ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMORROW. IF
NECESSARY...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
OR NOT THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE...HEAVY RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL AFFECT PUERTO RICO AND PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IN SOME AREAS THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON NANA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
NANA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 AND UNDER AWIPS
HEADER MIATCMAT4.
Attachment: two_atl.gif (Downloaded 28 times)
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 12:59 am |
|
| models Attachment: storm_14.gif (Downloaded 27 times)
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 11:19 am |
|
This will be quick as I'm on dial up and laptop battery. Electric went out last night and is not back on yet. Not associated with Nana but...we had gusts (up on the hill, of 40+ mph last night, lots of rain. Pretty wild out. I saw some lightning but after late afternoon didn't really hear much thunder. At the moment, it's calm calm calm.
I think we can put worries to the side on Nana. (knock knock on wood)
Happy Monday!
TROPICAL STORM NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2008
...NANA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1015
MILES...1635 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
NANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR INTENSIFICATION...
AND NANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...16.6 N...39.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 06:00 pm |
|
The 2 p.m. TWO on TD Nana: Nana is the disorganized blob to our right.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NANA...LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS AND ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN LOCATED
ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA |
Attachment: avn-l.jpg (Downloaded 19 times)
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
admin
Administrator
| Joined: | Sat Dec 23rd, 2006 |
| Location: | |
| Posts: | 2565 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 08:54 pm |
|
since I know Island Woman has a busy night ahead of her, and with the 5 p.m. advisories coming out on TD 15, I thought I'd post the good news on Nana:
000
WTNT34 KNHC 132037
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008
...NANA COULD DISSIPATE TONIGHT...
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1105
MILES...1775 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...17.5 N...40.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
____________________
Life is short. Break the rules, Forgive quickly, Love truly, Laugh uncontrollably,
and never regret anything that made you smile!
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 10:35 pm |
|
admin wrote: since I know Island Woman has a busy night ahead of her, and with the 5 p.m. advisories coming out on TD 15, I thought I'd post the good news on Nana:
000
WTNT34 KNHC 132037
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008
...NANA COULD DISSIPATE TONIGHT...
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1105
MILES...1775 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...17.5 N...40.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Best damn news I've read today!!!It will still be impacting the rest of the mess out there but let it fall apart! Thanks, admin, I was just going to post it (took time out to watch Flashdance...I needed to dance!)
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
bayberry
Charter Member
| Joined: | Thu Jan 4th, 2007 |
| Location: | |
| Posts: | 210 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Mon Oct 13th, 2008 10:40 pm |
|
| Bayberry is also known sometimes as Nana and can attest to complete indecision at times.... At least she knows enough not to threaten Culebra, unlike potential Omar
|
Island Woman MJ
Island Expert
| Joined: | Mon Dec 25th, 2006 |
| Location: | Culebra |
| Posts: | 2593 |
| Status: |
Offline
|
|
Posted: Tue Oct 14th, 2008 10:09 am |
|
Yippie!!! Bye bye Nana...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008
...NANA DISSIPATES...
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1285
MILES...2065 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1300
MILES...2090 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST UNTIL THE REMNANT
LOW OF NANA DISSIPATES IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...18.4 N...43.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN
BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
____________________
Salva lo que queda! Save What's Left!
|
Current time is 02:21 pm | |
|
