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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Sat Sep 1st, 2007 11:52 pm |
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So...the weather weenies were right...
000
WTNT31 KNHC 012344
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2007
...FELIX BECOMES A HURRICANE...NEW WATCH FOR JAMAICA...
AT 8 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ARUBA...BONAIRE AND CURACAO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. |
Attachment: at200706_sat.jpg (Downloaded 61 times) Last edited on Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 12:00 am by Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 12:18 am |
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| oh shoot......forecast to be a cat 3 and headed for the Yucatan......
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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 12:27 am |
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Just a refresher for those of you interested in geography you may have forgotten...(I was wanting clarity myself, so figured I couldn't be the only one...was I?) for now and future reference. For some perspective....Honduras is a bit larger than Tennessee.
Attachment: CaribbeanCentralAmericamap.gif (Downloaded 58 times) Last edited on Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 12:42 am by Island Woman MJ
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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 10:55 am |
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The 5:00 am TWO in part -
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 AM EDT SUN SEP 02 2007
FELIX HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED OVERNIGHT. AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 93
KT AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 984 MB DURING THE LAST EYE PENETRATION
AT ABOUT 0638Z. IN ADDITION...AN EYEWALL DROPSONDE MEASURED
SURFACE WINDS OF 85 KT DERIVED FROM THE MEAN WIND IN THE LOWER
LAYER OF THE SOUNDING. BASED ON THESE DATA THE ADVISORY INTENSITY
IS SET TO 85 KT. WHILE THE EYE HAS NOT YET BECOME DISCERNIBLE IN
CONVENTIONAL GOES INFRARED IMAGERY...
ALL FACTORS POINT TO CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION...AND THE NEW
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED UPWARD MAINLY TO REFLECT THE
OVERNIGHT STRENGTHENING JUST OBSERVED...AND SO IS HIGHER THAN MOST
OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE. FELIX APPEARS ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING A
MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE CARIBBEAN...BUT HOW MUCH LAND IT TRAVERSES
BEYOND 48 HOURS MAKES THE LONG-RANGE INTENSITY FORECAST VERY
UNCERTAIN. |
While once again, we are calm and bright. There were a few spits of rain last night, but if it actually hit the ground around me I'd be surprised. Lots of boaters and beachgoer's are enjoying the perfect weathered 3 day holiday weekend.
Oh yeah...LABOR Day Weekend!! Honor your workers, honor your workin' self! And yes, it's that old, gather 'round the telly-thon for Jerry's Kids as well - going strong every Labor Day weekend since 1966.
Storm Jerry
Attachment: JL_lights.gif (Downloaded 52 times)
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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 07:40 pm |
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I didn't even get to post Felix becoming a cat 2 before he became a cat 3  Looks like the ABC's got spared for the most part - read of some damage but mainly heavy rain and high surf, rather than loss of life. Unfortunately, whoever is in the way is going to get slammed. For those folks...all prayers and best thoughts your way.
Attachment: 54156kl.jpg (Downloaded 46 times) Last edited on Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 07:46 pm by Island Woman MJ
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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 07:43 pm |
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another view
Attachment: at200706_sat.jpg (Downloaded 43 times)
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 07:48 pm |
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| that is one awesome eye.......although I hesitate to use that adjective....just doesn't seem right when you're talking such a destructive storm.....
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 09:38 pm |
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YIKES!! from the 5 p.m. advisory. Felix is one bad dude.
Thus the current intensity is set at 120 kt. A central
pressure of 957 mb was measured by dropsonde...with 15 kt winds at
the surface. So the minimum pressure is estimated to be slightly
lower or 956 mb. This corresponds to a fall in central pressure at
a rate of 3.4 mb per hour over the past 7 hours or so...which is
one of the more rapid deepening rates we have observed. Felix will
remain in a very low shear tropospheric environment and will be
passing over waters of extremely high oceanic heat content over the
next couple of days. In addition...to exacerbate the situation...
there is a warm eddy over the central Caribbean that Felix is
projected to move over in 12 hours or so. The official intensity
forecast could be conservative and there is certainly the potential
for US to have another category five hurricane on our hands before
all is said and done.
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 09:43 pm |
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| two of the scariest looking eyes I've ever seen Attachment: Picture 6.png (Downloaded 36 times)
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Posted: Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 09:47 pm |
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A heart breaking quote from Diane, one of the weather coorespondents from Belize on StormCaribe.com. Everyone reading this needs to take a moment to send a prayer to all in Felix's path -- many of whom are still suffering from Dean's rampage. It's one thing to face one of these monster storms, but two in less than a month is beyond comprehension.
"Boards are still up on a lot of homes from the Dean prep, and others are going back up now.
Nobody is taking this lightly, but there is a resignation of spirit as well ......... we're tired, many people are broke, and given the scope of the storm there seems no sure safe haven.
Will post more as time allows. Nobody thinks this will be easy.
Felix - please relax and go away, please."
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 12:21 am |
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Never a good thing when the hurricane hunter planes abort the mission.
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on September 02, 2007
reports from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Felix
has intensified and is now a category five hurricane. The aircraft
reported peak flight-level winds of 152 kt...with peak SFMR winds
of 142 kt in the southwest quadrant. Higher SFMR winds were found
in the northeast quadrant...up to 163 kt...but these may have been
contaminated by groupel. A dropsonde released in the southwest
quadrant landed in the northeast quadrant...and this drop yielded a
surface estimate of 139 kt based on the lowest 150 M layer average.
Based on these data...the peak surface winds are estimated to be at
least 145 kt. An eye sonde measured a surface pressure of 936 mb
with surface winds of 24 kt. Because of the extreme turbulence and
groupel that the aircraft experienced...the mission is being
aborted and the aircraft is returning to St. Croix.
This special advisory is being issued to update the initial and
forecast intensities. No other changes to the forecast are being
made. This special advisory is being issued in lieu of the
scheduled intermediate advisory.
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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 11:02 am |
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I couldn't get on line from late afternoon until this morning, and that is still only by dial up. Not a good time to lose DMX. Thank you so much Laurie, for taking up the slack.
000
WTNT41 KNHC 030901
TCDAT1
HURRICANE FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 AM EDT MON SEP 03 2007
FELIX IS MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT
MAINTAINS CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT PENETRATED THE EYE TWICE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE
EYE DIAMETER HAS SHRUNK TO 10 N MI...AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 931
MB WAS MEASURED...BUT THAT DROPSONDE DID NOT QUITE CATCH THE CENTER
OF CIRCULATION...SO THE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 929 MB.
MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 155 KT...CORRESPONDING TO SURFACE
WINDS OF 140 KT... BUT THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 145 KT
SINCE THIS MISSION MIGHT HAVE JUST MISSED THE MAXIMUM WIND |
Yes...this is a big storm, to state the very obvious, heading for areas where the worst can and will happen.
I won't bother posting pics as they are quite easy to find and with dial-up, it takes forever.
Last edited on Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 11:08 am by Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 11:09 am |
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I can't help but to think of Mitch, a storm that ravaged Central America a month after we got slammed by Georges -- and because we were still in recovery/survival stage, I didn't see much of what Mitch did, but these countries are totally dependant on their banana crops for survival, and Mitch totally eliminated much of the crops, and I fear that Felix could do the same. My heart sank this morning when I saw the southwest jag he took overnight. These are poor countries to start with, and no Red Cross or emergency services to speak of.
Send prayers, and a lot of them.
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 05:50 pm |
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From Jeff Master's blog.....and this picture should be called One Eye Too Close Too Land
Hurricane Felix put on an incredibly ferocious burst of intensification last night, winding up into a small but potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane. Felix now holds the record for shortest time for an Atlantic storm to intensify to Category 5 strength. Felix required just 51 hours to reach Category 5 strength after it started as a tropical depression. That is a truly remarkable intensification rate, considering most tropical cyclones take 3-5 days to organize into a Category 1 hurricane.Attachment: Picture 9.png (Downloaded 19 times)
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Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 08:19 pm |
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Is it me or does anyone ELSE see the face of Felix? And he looks mean
Attachment: at200706_sat.jpg (Downloaded 16 times)
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 08:26 pm |
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| I knew he looked mean, but until you said something, I hadn't seen the face. Now I have and it's just one more ugly image floating around in what's left of my brain.....
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 08:59 pm |
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5 p.m. advisory... As I posted this, I'm listening to it being read on internet radio...
HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2007
...FELIX HEADED FOR NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THERE TONIGHT.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...
405 KM...EAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS
BORDER.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL BE NEAR THE COASTS OF EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS EARLY ON TUESDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
REGARDLESS...FELIX SHOULD REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UP TO ITS
ARRIVAL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. |
Last edited on Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 09:00 pm by Island Woman MJ
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Posted: Mon Sep 3rd, 2007 09:07 pm |
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| I'm guessing with an 18 foot storm surge, a lot of those beautiful outter islands are going to be wiped out......oh my, this is just not news I wanted to hear.
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Posted: Tue Sep 4th, 2007 12:00 am |
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8 pm TWO - listening to love.fm (belize) via internet...they are so on it...giving messages person to person, about shelters open. It's...scary...though they are very sensible. Using English and Spanish both...it's different for me to hear a West Indian accent and yet they are all totally fluent in Spanish. Another country.
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2007
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX APPROACHES NORTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.
AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...
325 KM...EAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS
BORDER.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL BE NEAR THE COASTS OF EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS EARLY ON TUESDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FELIX IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FELIX IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE...AT LEAST CATEGORY THREE...UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL...AND
SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. |
Attachment: at200706_sat.jpg (Downloaded 11 times)
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Posted: Tue Sep 4th, 2007 07:45 am |
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I wake up near 3 a.m., hearing the Beatles' singing Help...then the song Rescue Me...then Sly and the Family Stone singing We Are Family. It took me a minute to realize I wasn't 12, waking in my bed in our house close to the beach in Florida.
But no, it was Belize internet radio having a musical interlude. I'd fallen asleep, listening to them give warnings, take phone calls, the regular hurricane thing. I wouldn't be pulling on my bathing suit and running down the street to the beach with friends, but I was in a lot better, bigger bed, and there is no school!
Here is the 2:00 a.m. advisory -
there is no good news unless the fact that the track has dropped considerably south, meaning it will not affect the coastal areas AS STRONGLY as originally thought...and Belize may be out of the major impact completely. Felix is now (4:40 a.m.) starting to affect Honduras.
The fat lady hasn't sung yet, for anyone in the zone.
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX STRENGTHENING...ONLY A FEW
HOURS FROM LANDFALL...
...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...
165 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A GENERAL
WESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF FELIX IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE BORDER BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS IN A FEW HOURS.
REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW
NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR WHILE THE CENTER
OF FELIX REMAINS OVER WATER...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT FELIX COULD
REACH CATEGORY FIVE STATUS PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN A FEW HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 940
MB...27.76 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. |
Attachment: at200706_sat.jpg (Downloaded 8 times) Last edited on Tue Sep 4th, 2007 08:36 am by Island Woman MJ
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